Home Track record

Our track record

One single a day, published before kick-off at the price we saw. Every pick ends up on this page — the losers stay. Judge us on the whole list, not on the good days.

40% Strike rate 12 won · 18 lost
+2.44 Units, flat stakes ROI +8.1%
30 Settled picks average price 2.44

Awaiting result

2 open
Wed 21 Oct 2026 Europe · Europa League – League Phase Awaiting result

Besiktas v Crystal Palace

Under 2.5 goals 2.63 at Betfair
Match Not played yet Edge at the time +1.13%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 38%, which is a fair price of 2.60. The best available price is 2.63 with Betfair, 1.1% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.42 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Tue 20 Oct 2026 Europe · Conference League – League Phase Awaiting result

Midtjylland v St. Truiden

Under 2.5 goals 2.63 at Betfair
Match Not played yet Edge at the time +2.41%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 39%, which is a fair price of 2.57. The best available price is 2.63 with Betfair, 2.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.41 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Settled

newest first
Mon 19 Oct 2026 Turkey · Super Lig Lost

Trabzonspor v Besiktas

Besiktas to win 2.59 at 1xBet
Match Home win 2–0 Edge at the time +4.71%
Why we picked it

Across 3 bookmakers the market prices besiktas to win at about 40%, which is a fair price of 2.47. The best available price is 2.59 with 1xBet, 4.7% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.25 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sun 18 Oct 2026 Brazil · Serie A Betano Lost

Fluminense v Santos

Fluminense to win 2.38 at bet365
Match Away win 1–2 Edge at the time +4.01%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices fluminense to win at about 44%, which is a fair price of 2.29. The best available price is 2.38 with bet365, 4.0% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.25 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sat 17 Oct 2026 England · League Two Lost

Port Vale v Chesterfield

Over 2.5 goals 2.15 at bet365
Match Home win 1–0 Edge at the time +3.47%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices over 2.5 goals at about 48%, which is a fair price of 2.08. The best available price is 2.15 with bet365, 3.5% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.85 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Fri 16 Oct 2026 Spain · LaLiga Won

Real Madrid v Sevilla

Real Madrid to win 5.38 at 1xBet
Match Home win 4–1 Edge at the time +231.45%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices real madrid to win at about 62%, which is a fair price of 1.62. The best available price is 5.38 with 1xBet, 231.5% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.25 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Thu 15 Oct 2026 Europe · Europa League – League Phase Won

Sparta Prague v Lillestrom

Under 2.5 goals 2.75 at bet365
Match Draw 1–1 Edge at the time +1.2%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 37%, which is a fair price of 2.72. The best available price is 2.75 with bet365, 1.2% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.38 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Wed 14 Oct 2026 Europe · Champions League – League Phase Won

Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens

Over 2.5 goals 1.95 at 1xBet
Match Home win 3–1 Edge at the time +0.7%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices over 2.5 goals at about 52%, which is a fair price of 1.94. The best available price is 1.95 with 1xBet, 0.7% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.80 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Tue 13 Oct 2026 Scotland · Challenge Cup Won

Annan v Alloa

Under 2.5 goals 2.50 at bet365
Match Draw 0–0 Edge at the time +1.38%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 41%, which is a fair price of 2.47. The best available price is 2.50 with bet365, 1.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 2.46 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Mon 12 Oct 2026 Europe · Champions League – League Phase Lost

Manchester City v PSG

Manchester City to win 2.32 at 1xBet
Match Away win 2–4 Edge at the time +1.67%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices manchester city to win at about 44%, which is a fair price of 2.28. The best available price is 2.32 with 1xBet, 1.7% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 2.25 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sun 11 Oct 2026 Spain · LaLiga 2 Lost

Almeria v Leganes

Under 2.5 goals 2.31 at 1xBet
Match Home win 3–0 Edge at the time +1.72%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 44%, which is a fair price of 2.27. The best available price is 2.31 with 1xBet, 1.7% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.21 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sat 10 Oct 2026 Italy · Serie A Lost

Sassuolo v AC Milan

Over 2.5 goals 1.87 at 1xBet
Match Draw 1–1 Edge at the time +1.49%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices over 2.5 goals at about 54%, which is a fair price of 1.84. The best available price is 1.87 with 1xBet, 1.5% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 1.80 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Fri 9 Oct 2026 Spain · LaLiga Lost

Elche v Celta Vigo

Over 2.5 goals 2.12 at 1xBet
Match Draw 0–0 Edge at the time +1.49%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices over 2.5 goals at about 48%, which is a fair price of 2.09. The best available price is 2.12 with 1xBet, 1.5% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.00 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Thu 8 Oct 2026 Spain · LaLiga 2 Won

Eldense v Cordoba

Eldense to win 2.49 at 1xBet
Match Home win 2–1 Edge at the time +3.43%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices eldense to win at about 42%, which is a fair price of 2.41. The best available price is 2.49 with 1xBet, 3.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 2.50 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Mon 5 Oct 2026 Europe · Nations League Lost

Estonia v Iceland

Over 2.5 goals 1.97 at 1xBet
Match Draw 0–0 Edge at the time +2.85%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices over 2.5 goals at about 52%, which is a fair price of 1.92. The best available price is 1.97 with 1xBet, 2.9% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.67 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sun 4 Oct 2026 Europe · Nations League Lost

England v Czech Republic

Under 2.5 goals 2.88 at Betfair
Match Home win 3–0 Edge at the time +1.64%
Why we picked it

Across 3 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 35%, which is a fair price of 2.83. The best available price is 2.88 with Betfair, 1.6% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.55 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sat 3 Oct 2026 England · League One Lost

Reading v Bradford City

Reading to win 2.35 at Betano
Match Draw 1–1 Edge at the time +1.41%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices reading to win at about 43%, which is a fair price of 2.32. The best available price is 2.35 with Betano, 1.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.20 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Fri 2 Oct 2026 England · League Two Won

Rochdale v Swindon

Rochdale to win 2.47 at Betano
Match Home win 1–0 Edge at the time +0.79%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices rochdale to win at about 41%, which is a fair price of 2.45. The best available price is 2.47 with Betano, 0.8% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 2.38 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Thu 1 Oct 2026 Spain · LaLiga 2 Won

Cadiz CF v Leganes

Over 2.5 goals 2.38 at Betfair
Match Home win 4–0 Edge at the time +1.55%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices over 2.5 goals at about 43%, which is a fair price of 2.34. The best available price is 2.38 with Betfair, 1.5% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.15 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Wed 30 Sep 2026 Europe · Nations League Lost

Iceland v Bulgaria

Under 2.5 goals 2.00 at Betano
Match Home win 3–0 Edge at the time +7.41%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 54%, which is a fair price of 1.86. The best available price is 2.00 with Betano, 7.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.65 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sun 20 Sep 2026 Italy · Serie A Lost

Parma v Genoa

Under 2.5 goals 1.62 at 1xBet
Match Home win 2–1 Edge at the time +0.79%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 62%, which is a fair price of 1.61. The best available price is 1.62 with 1xBet, 0.8% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.50 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sat 19 Sep 2026 Netherlands · Eredivisie Won

Den Haag v Cambuur

Under 2.5 goals 2.88 at Betfair
Match Draw 1–1 Edge at the time +2.89%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 36%, which is a fair price of 2.80. The best available price is 2.88 with Betfair, 2.9% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.67 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Fri 18 Sep 2026 Netherlands · Eredivisie Won Repeat

Den Haag v Cambuur

Under 2.5 goals 2.88 at Betfair
Match Draw 1–1 Edge at the time +4.27%
Why we picked it

Across 4 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 36%, which is a fair price of 2.76. The best available price is 2.88 with Betfair, 4.3% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.67 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Thu 17 Sep 2026 Europe · Europa League – League Phase Won

Besiktas v Marseille

Besiktas to win 2.20 at Unibet
Match Home win 4–1 Edge at the time +8.49%
Why we picked it

Across 6 bookmakers the market prices besiktas to win at about 49%, which is a fair price of 2.03. The best available price is 2.20 with Unibet, 8.5% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 2.20 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Wed 16 Sep 2026 Europe · Europa League – League Phase Won Repeat

Besiktas v Marseille

Besiktas to win 2.20 at Unibet
Match Home win 4–1 Edge at the time +11.35%
Why we picked it

Across 6 bookmakers the market prices besiktas to win at about 51%, which is a fair price of 1.98. The best available price is 2.20 with Unibet, 11.3% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 2.20 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Tue 15 Sep 2026 England · Championship Lost

Middlesbrough v Millwall

Middlesbrough to win 1.91 at Unibet
Match Draw 2–2 Edge at the time +14.7%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices middlesbrough to win at about 60%, which is a fair price of 1.67. The best available price is 1.91 with Unibet, 14.7% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 1.92 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Mon 14 Sep 2026 England · Championship Lost Repeat

Middlesbrough v Millwall

Middlesbrough to win 1.91 at Unibet
Match Draw 2–2 Edge at the time +10.07%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices middlesbrough to win at about 58%, which is a fair price of 1.74. The best available price is 1.91 with Unibet, 10.1% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 1.92 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sun 13 Sep 2026 England · Championship Lost Repeat

Middlesbrough v Millwall

Middlesbrough to win 1.91 at Unibet
Match Draw 2–2 Edge at the time +8.4%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices middlesbrough to win at about 57%, which is a fair price of 1.76. The best available price is 1.91 with Unibet, 8.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 1.92 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sat 12 Sep 2026 France · Ligue 1 Won

Le Havre v Angers

Under 2.5 goals 1.91 at 1xBet
Match Draw 0–0 Edge at the time +3.35%
Why we picked it

Across 6 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 54%, which is a fair price of 1.85. The best available price is 1.91 with 1xBet, 3.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.67 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Fri 11 Sep 2026 Italy · Serie A Lost

Venezia v Fiorentina

Under 2.5 goals 2.20 at 1xBet
Match Away win 2–4 Edge at the time +2.68%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 47%, which is a fair price of 2.14. The best available price is 2.20 with 1xBet, 2.7% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.93 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Thu 10 Sep 2026 USA · MLS Won

San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo

Under 2.5 goals 2.43 at Unibet
Match Home win 1–0 Edge at the time +1.24%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 42%, which is a fair price of 2.40. The best available price is 2.43 with Unibet, 1.2% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.20 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Tue 8 Sep 2026 England · Championship Lost

Bolton v West Ham

Under 2.5 goals 2.55 at Betfair
Match Away win 2–3 Edge at the time +0.83%
Why we picked it

Across 6 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 40%, which is a fair price of 2.53. The best available price is 2.55 with Betfair, 0.8% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.23 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Mon 7 Sep 2026 England · Championship Won

Derby v West Brom

West Brom to win 3.10 at Unibet
Match Away win 0–1 Edge at the time +11.01%
Why we picked it

Across 3 bookmakers the market prices west brom to win at about 36%, which is a fair price of 2.79. The best available price is 3.10 with Unibet, 11.0% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The line has held steady near 3.15 since it opened, so the market is settled on this one. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sun 6 Sep 2026 Italy · Serie A Lost

Frosinone v Venezia

Under 2.5 goals 2.47 at 1xBet
Match Home win 3–2 Edge at the time +14.77%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 46%, which is a fair price of 2.15. The best available price is 2.47 with 1xBet, 14.8% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.00 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Sat 5 Sep 2026 Turkey · Super Lig Lost

Fenerbahce v Besiktas

Fenerbahce to win 2.17 at 1xBet
Match Away win 1–2 Edge at the time +7.37%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices fenerbahce to win at about 49%, which is a fair price of 2.02. The best available price is 2.17 with 1xBet, 7.4% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 1.81 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

Fri 4 Sep 2026 Netherlands · Eredivisie Lost

Sparta Rotterdam v Zwolle

Under 2.5 goals 2.88 at Betfair
Match Draw 2–2 Edge at the time +3.07%
Why we picked it

Across 5 bookmakers the market prices under 2.5 goals at about 36%, which is a fair price of 2.79. The best available price is 2.88 with Betfair, 3.1% above that consensus — the same bet, paid better. The price has drifted from 2.70 since the market opened, which is worth weighing before you back it. This is a price judgement, not a prediction: it says you are getting better than the going rate, not that the result is certain.

How the pick is chosen

For every match we take each bookmaker’s prices and strip out its margin, which leaves what the market really thinks each outcome is worth. Averaging that across all the bookmakers we track gives a consensus fair price. The pick is the selection where the best available price beats that fair price by the widest margin — the same bet, paid better.

A note on repeats. Between 13 and 20 September the engine published the same fixture on more than one day — it could pick any match kicking off within 72 hours, and nothing stopped it choosing one twice. 4 of the picks below are repeats. They are still here, marked “Repeat”, because this page removes nothing. They are counted once each in the figures above: one bet, one stake, one result. Counting them in full would have shown a return roughly twice the real one.

“Match” is how the game itself finished. “Won” or “Lost” is whether our selection came in, which is not always the same thing: an under 2.5 goals pick loses in a 3–1 home win. Results are settled automatically from the final score, and nothing is deleted.

Past results are not a guide to future outcomes. 18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.