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Draw predictions

next 48 hours · probabilities computed from live bookmaker prices

Model recalculated market consensus margin removed sample 16 matches
16 matches analysed

Matches where a draw is unusually likely. Draws are hard: even the best candidates rarely pass one chance in three, which is why they pay well.

Kick-offMatchPrediction Chance Best price
Fri 22:30— Gimnasia Mendoza v Platense Argentina · Liga Profesional – Clausura X Draw 31% 3.10Betfair
Sat 14:00— Cagliari v Bologna Italy · Serie A X Draw 31% 3.131xBet
Sat 14:00— Gaziantep v Erzurumspor Turkey · Super Lig X Draw 31% 3.30Betfair
Sat 14:00— Sudtirol v Sampdoria Italy · Serie B X Draw 30% 3.20Betfair
Fri 19:30— Granada CF v Valladolid Spain · LaLiga 2 X Draw 29% 3.381xBet
Sat 15:00— Blackburn v Wrexham England · Championship X Draw 29% 3.30Betfair
Sat 14:00— Entella v Mantova Italy · Serie B X Draw 29% 3.30Betano
Thu 17:45— Getafe v Lugano Europe · Conference League – League Phase X Draw 29% 3.35Betano
Sat 14:00— Avellino v Padova Italy · Serie B X Draw 29% 3.321xBet
Fri 18:00— Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor Turkey · Super Lig X Draw 29% 3.381xBet
Sat 15:15— Leganes v Mallorca Spain · LaLiga 2 X Draw 29% 3.301xBet
Sat 16:15— Catanzaro v Ascoli Italy · Serie B X Draw 29% 3.40Betano
Sat 12:30— Portsmouth v Millwall England · Championship X Draw 28% 3.40Betfair
Fri 19:00— Sochaux v Annecy France · Ligue 2 X Draw 28% 3.381xBet
Thu 17:45— Iberia 1999 v Mjallby Europe · Conference League – League Phase X Draw 28% 3.50bet365
Fri 19:30— Empoli v L.R. Vicenza Italy · Serie B X Draw 28% 3.40Betfair

How these predictions are made

Bookmakers build a margin into their prices, so the probabilities implied by their odds always add up to more than 100%. We strip that margin out: each bookmaker’s prices are converted to probabilities and divided by their sum, then averaged across every bookmaker we track. What is left is the market’s honest view of each outcome, and the prediction shown is simply whichever outcome that view rates highest.

The percentage beside each tip is how often the market expects that result. A 70% pick is expected to lose about three times in every ten. We publish no “sure” games, no fixed matches and no guarantees. Every prediction on this page is logged before kick-off and checked afterwards — see how accurate our numbers have been — and our track record lists every daily single we have published, including the losers.

Odds change constantly — always confirm the price with the bookmaker before betting. 18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.